Polymarket (Global)

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?

December 31

Updated 9m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

6¢

Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢

Pricedger fair probability

3%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.6 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

38,993

Fine-print risk

36/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government…

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