Polymarket (Global)
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
No Meeting by December 31
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
54¢
Bid 53¢ · Ask 55¢
Pricedger fair probability
54%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.7 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
46,906
Fine-print risk
56/100
Resolution-rule audit
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