Polymarket (Global)
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
None before 2027
Updated 14m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
47¢
Bid 47¢ · Ask 47¢
Pricedger fair probability
47%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
46,058
Fine-print risk
22/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignatio…
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