Polymarket (Global)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
Updated 51m ago · Settles Mar 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
34¢
Bid 31¢ · Ask 36¢
Pricedger fair probability
33%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
51,054
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Just…
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