Polymarket (Global)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Updated 5m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

71¢

Bid 71¢ · Ask 71¢

Pricedger fair probability

72%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.3 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

3,408,365

Fine-print risk

62/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology