Polymarket (Global)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
National Party
Updated 40m ago · Settles Nov 8, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
61¢
Bid 60¢ · Ask 62¢
Pricedger fair probability
62%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,869
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multipl…
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