Polymarket (Global)

Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?

270-280M

Updated 28m ago · Settles Oct 18, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

100¢

Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.0 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

30,209

Fine-print risk

8/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 14 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views availabl…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology