Polymarket (Global)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

Updated 4m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

88¢

Bid 88¢ · Ask 88¢

Pricedger fair probability

91%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+3.0 pts

On YES after fees · medium confidence

Volume

6,668,490

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology