Polymarket (Global)
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman
Updated 29m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
2¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
33,503
Fine-print risk
52/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representat…
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