Polymarket (Global)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Updated 40m ago · Settles Jan 4, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.4 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
1,775,812
Fine-print risk
20/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing…
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