Polymarket (Global)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Mary Peltola

Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

74¢

Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢

Pricedger fair probability

76%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.6 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

708,789

Fine-print risk

14/100

Resolution-rule audit

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology