Polymarket (Global)
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Mark Sutcliffe
Updated 14m ago · Settles Oct 27, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
93¢
Bid 91¢ · Ask 95¢
Pricedger fair probability
97%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.9 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
45,209
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The…
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