Polymarket (Global)
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Marine Le Pen
Updated 26m ago · Settles Apr 18, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
86¢
Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢
Pricedger fair probability
89%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.7 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
42,497
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they app…
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