Polymarket (Global)
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
October 31
Updated 15m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
20¢
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Pricedger fair probability
18%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
31,395
Fine-print risk
38/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timefr…
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