Polymarket (Global)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?

December 31

Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

64¢

Bid 63¢ · Ask 64¢

Pricedger fair probability

64%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.3 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

75,174

Fine-print risk

38/100

Resolution-rule audit

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology