Polymarket (Global)
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
Lula
Updated 6m ago · Settles Oct 26, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
76¢
Bid 75¢ · Ask 77¢
Pricedger fair probability
78%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
34,566
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order…
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