Polymarket (Global)
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Lula
Updated 10m ago · Settles Oct 26, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
60¢
Bid 59¢ · Ask 60¢
Pricedger fair probability
60%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
28,697
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphab…
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