Polymarket (Global)
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Lula
Updated 21m ago · Settles Oct 26, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
71¢
Bid 70¢ · Ask 71¢
Pricedger fair probability
72%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
28,715
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad, meaning votes cast outside Brazil and reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under “Exterior”. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes w…
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