Polymarket (Global)
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
25-29
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
31¢
Bid 30¢ · Ask 31¢
Pricedger fair probability
29%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
64,750
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
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