Polymarket (Global)

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Updated 13m ago · Settles Oct 22, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

1¢

Bid 0¢ · Ask 2¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-1.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

314,332

Fine-print risk

36/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will…

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