Polymarket (Global)
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?
Above 3,510 ft
Updated 1h ago · Settles Apr 16, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
95¢
Bid 93¢ · Ask 97¢
Pricedger fair probability
98%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.7 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
41,695
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 does not fall below 3,510.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. Because a lower reading can occur at any…
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