Polymarket (Global)
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Labour Party
Updated 15m ago · Settles Nov 8, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
100¢
Bid 99¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,902
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalition…
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