Polymarket (Global)
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kylian Mbappé
Updated 37m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
63¢
Bid 61¢ · Ask 64¢
Pricedger fair probability
63%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.8 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
44,317
Fine-print risk
39/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon…
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