Polymarket (Global)
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Kuomintang (KMT)
Updated 3m ago · Settles Nov 29, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
88¢
Bid 87¢ · Ask 89¢
Pricedger fair probability
91%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
83,604
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party a…
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