Polymarket (Global)

Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?

90-119

Updated 40m ago · Settles Dec 1, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

0¢

Bid 0¢ · Ask 0¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

31,740

Fine-print risk

19/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin streaming a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world. This market will resolve according to the number of combined Minecraft deaths across all three players during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumu…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology