Polymarket (Global)

Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Jordan Bardella

Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

100¢

Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.0 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

40,133

Fine-print risk

36/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announ…

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