Polymarket (Global)
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
78¢
Bid 77¢ · Ask 78¢
Pricedger fair probability
80%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
107,666
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology