Polymarket (Global)
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
Updated 34m ago · Settles Nov 30, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
0¢
Bid 0¢ · Ask 0¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
282,395
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confid…
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