Polymarket (Global)
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
December 31
Updated 55m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
23¢
Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢
Pricedger fair probability
21%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
52,545
Fine-print risk
56/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or an Iranian proxy group physically damages undersea internet cables between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Iranian proxy groups are: any organization directly controlled by Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Houthis ("Ansar Allah"), Kata'ib Hezbollah, Asa'ib…
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