Polymarket (Global)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction Funding
Updated 21m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
345,079
Fine-print risk
70/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market resolves to "Yes" if a written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran that establishes a non-Iranian fund or substantive funding mechanism for Iranian reconstruction or economic development, or creates an obligation for non-Iranian actors to commit funding to such reconstruction or development, has been mutually signed or otherwise formally adopted by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe…
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