Polymarket (Global)
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Updated 16m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
2¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 2¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
82,588
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages un…
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