Polymarket (Global)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Above 4.5%
Updated 8m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
20¢
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Pricedger fair probability
19%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
226,360
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls…
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