Polymarket (Global)
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Helen Zille
Updated 6h ago · Settles Nov 17, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
53¢
Bid 51¢ · Ask 54¢
Pricedger fair probability
53%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
59,280
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be co…
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