Polymarket (Global)

Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Google

Updated 33m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

20¢

Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢

Pricedger fair probability

18%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

41,496

Fine-print risk

12/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and…

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