Polymarket (Global)
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 23m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
11¢
Bid 10¢ · Ask 11¢
Pricedger fair probability
7%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.1 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
67,010
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whethe…
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