Polymarket (Global)
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
François Hollande
Updated 34m ago · Settles Jul 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
35¢
Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢
Pricedger fair probability
34%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-3.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
35,397
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential…
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