Polymarket (Global)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
Updated 26m ago · Settles Nov 5, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
29¢
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
Pricedger fair probability
27%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
43,289
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first…
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