Polymarket (Global)

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

Updated 15m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

15¢

Bid 12¢ · Ask 17¢

Pricedger fair probability

12%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-0.4 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

112,878

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, a…

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