Polymarket (Global)
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
2
Updated 18m ago · Settles Oct 27, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
28¢
Bid 27¢ · Ask 28¢
Pricedger fair probability
26%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
30,663
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of…
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