Polymarket (Global)
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
↑ 4,000
Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
11¢
Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢
Pricedger fair probability
9%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
541,283
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology