Polymarket (Global)

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Elon Musk

Updated 2m ago · Settles Apr 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

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Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

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No side call

Volume

1,236,843

Fine-print risk

12/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that…

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