Polymarket (Global)
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?
Dems sweep
Updated 16m ago · Settles Nov 3, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
57¢
Bid 56¢ · Ask 58¢
Pricedger fair probability
58%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,893
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat”…
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