Polymarket (Global)
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Updated 5m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
51¢
Bid 50¢ · Ask 52¢
Pricedger fair probability
51%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.9 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
42,221
Fine-print risk
20/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not…
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