Polymarket (Global)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Updated 6m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
93¢
Bid 92¢ · Ask 93¢
Pricedger fair probability
95%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
121,840
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-ma…
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