Polymarket (Global)

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

David Lisnard

Updated 4m ago · Settles Apr 19, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

12¢

Bid 12¢ · Ask 12¢

Pricedger fair probability

9%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+3.4 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

4,065,986

Fine-print risk

34/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology