Polymarket (Global)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

December 31, 2026

Updated 56m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

3¢

Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.0 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

288,014

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a quali…

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