Polymarket (Global)

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Chiang Wan-an

Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 29, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

74¢

Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢

Pricedger fair probability

76%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.6 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

284,292

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology