Polymarket (Global)
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Bola Tinubu
Updated 31m ago · Settles Jan 17, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
70¢
Bid 68¢ · Ask 71¢
Pricedger fair probability
71%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
86,606
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election,…
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