Polymarket (Global)

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

by December 31, 2026

Updated 16m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

4¢

Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.0 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

2,869,957

Fine-print risk

8/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_U…

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology