Polymarket (Global)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 37m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
758,041
Fine-print risk
42/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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